Re: The US Politics Thread

[BarrileteCosmico]

It is entirely possible that this guy is undoing Kamala intentionally.

I remember 3 years ago when Biden made Kamala the "border czar" some people speculated he gave her an impossible problem to solve because he felt threatened by her. Not sure if it's true or not, but it might cost her the election too.

Biden is a lead lifeboat.

[Pedram]

During my Administration, we had peace in the Middle East, and we will have peace again very soon! I will fix the problems caused by Kamala Harris and Joe Biden and stop the suffering and destruction in Lebanon. I want to see the Middle East return to real peace, a lasting peace,…

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 30, 2024

I'm skeptic but i hope he's sincere. the region seriously needs some peace.

Democrats under the extreme Zionist Biden have thrown every international norms out of the window and made it clear they'll stand with Israel no matter what, so Trump has a unique opportunity to change the status quo and get the United States back to a more fairer position on this conflict.

[Myesyats]

Biden gave him the best PR moment he could have dreamed of a week before the vote

[Myesyats]

Reddit is a fully astroturfed website. i mildly criticized Israel in r/worldnews and instantly got banned. joke of a website tbh.

Yep.. man if you think that twitter is biased, take one look at r/politics. Its basically a Kamala campaign on the front page, comments always look the same under every post like paid bot farms

[Vibe]

Elon buying twitter can be a pivotal moment for the world if Trump wins.

Would've had no chance with the left owning all other media.

[Vibe]

Almost there guys, what are we thinking?

Personally, I believe Trump is a huge favorite. Dems ran a great campaign for a couple of weeks but then it all fell apart miserably. The switch was a brilliant twist, but I honestly have no idea how they could allow such a demise to happen after, they had time to teach her to say the right things but all she ended up with was Trump is Hitler as her running theme and WTF was that VP pick.

While Trump is the opposite, after the debate didn't go as well as they hoped, they've been killing it ever since and their campaign at an absolute peak right now and JD Vance is putting in an MVP performance. Future president material right there.

All kinds of reports of voter fraud around already, I guess the only chance for Kamala is that they manage to steal enough votes. Which is an even bigger incentive for Republican voters to go out there and vote.

However, if they have any means of preventing fraud, they better act now, cause after the election it's too late, they get away with it. I am afraid of something like this happening because it could be chaos in the United States.

Even if dems win now, they will certainly lose in 2028, so long term plans are probably to s(t)eal this election, then the country riots, then they blame it all on Trump and they have their running theme for 2028.

[Pedram]

What's wrong with Walz @Vibe?

I actually think if he was at the top of ticket, Democrats would have had a higher chance of winning, at least he's not a talking point machine like Harris.

[Vibe]

I don't know about you but I found the choice of him shocking.

First visually, the way he talks, they way he handles himself looks off from the go. His mannerisms don't impose confidence, at least to me if I was a voter, too neurotic.

Secondly, Kamala needed a running mate that would balance the ideology a bit and instead they went even further left, so left that Kamala then had to balance by changing tune on a lot of things.

Thirdly, while it all sound nice about acceptance and shit, these are agendas are artificially pushed by the media and I am absolutely positive that at least 90% of people do not want boys in girls locker rooms and do no want tampons in boys bathrooms.

And fourth, due to Kamala's obvious shortcomings, you needed a stronger candidate to back her up so that the people could feel safer.

Vance also trashed him.

Just my opinion. Also I believe that stronger candidates didn't want the VP pick because it's a risky move for a younger politician if they fail. Walz is in his 60's and this was a good chance for him, compared to others.

[Myesyats]

I think trump is a favorite but not huge. It's gonna be close in a couple states.

"In Pennsylvania the officials said “approximately 2,500 voter registration forms have been contained and segregated” to be reviewed and investigated but did not say how many of those have been found to be fraudulent."

Tbf a couple thousand votes can be deciding in a swing stage.
If they really want to protect the integrity of elections they should introduce only in-person voting and vote on a Sunday. I have no idea why they vote mid-week

[BarcaLearning]

So many previous elections had been very close, or extremely close... looks like this one might be like that again?

I know it might not matter too much in the end n im very far from the US so doesnt affect me much but I still prefer Harris... I cant stand Trump

[Vibe]

Well desperation is kicking in, so that speaks a lot about true polling results they have.

Mainstream media now blatantly editing Trump videos and broadcasting it as if it was real and trashing him for things that he never said.

Dystopian future isn't a future anymore. We've taken so many wrong turns. Maybe we've peaked as a species and now evolving backwards.

I don't know how else to decribe this. All of it makes me feel sick. I will follow the rest of the election and hope that Trump wins, but any result that occurs will eventually be the same for me, I've had more than enough and don't want to poison my mind.

I honestly feel sorry for the American people.

[Pedram]

As long as they mind their own business they can elect a Hitler for all i care. but we all know that's not going to happen, both parties will continue to negatively effect the world.

A multipolar world order can't come soon.

[Myesyats]

Mainstream media now blatantly editing Trump videos and broadcasting it as if it was real and trashing him for things that he never said.

Dystopian future isn't a future anymore. We've taken so many wrong turns. Maybe we've peaked as a species and now evolving backwards.

Yeah at this point I'd be rooting for Trump solely because the establishment seems to be willing to kill in order to prevent him from winning, really dystopian at times

.@NateSilver538's forecast:
Trump: 55.4%
Harris: 44.2%
(also recommend subscribing to his Substack if you aren't already).https://t.co/2aUnlB2MGp pic.twitter.com/1gA4QptkhP

— Alex Thompson (@AlexThomp) November 1, 2024

[BarcaLearning]

Musk said he wants to be involved in Trumps government if hes elected? Loool, do ppl really want that?

[Myesyats]

I wanted to say something positive about Musk but it is forbidden now under law I think

[Myesyats]

Nate thinks pollsters are lying to make the race seem close

By far the worst herders are @RedfieldWilton, the firm that published numbers today showing *all 7 states* within a 48-47 margin. That's extremely unlikely to occur by chance alone.  pic.twitter.com/t40ZEYKnbW

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 1, 2024

[Pedram]

Pollsters are so afraid of getting it wrong so best they can do is to just say the race is 50-50.

[Pedram]

Night before the election. share your prediction.

[elitedam]

Still a coin flip.

Harris wins, Republicans take the Senate, Dems take the House.

[Myesyats]

Night before the election. share your prediction.

[Pedram]

You think that safe D district in Nebraska will flip? Interesting.

Btw i'm pretty sure Nevada will go red this time because of the whole "no tax on tips" campaign promise by Trump. also lots of conservative Republicans leaving California for Arizona and Nevada in the last four years.

[Myesyats]

No sorry 2nd district in NE is going to Dems imo, it’s just 1 electoral vote so I skipped it (same with ME 2nd district for republicans)

Doesn’t change the number of EVs but I updated my map

[BarcaLearning]

Will we likely know the outcome by tmr? Or prolly will take a few more days?

[Pedram]

10 Final Presidential Election Forecasts@FiveThirtyEight
🟦 Harris: 270
🟥 Trump: 268
——@NateSilver538
🟦 Harris: 271
🟥 Trump: 267
——@DecisionDeskHQ
🟥 Trump: 275
🟦 Harris: 263
——
Sabato’s Crystal Ball
🟦 Harris: 276
🟥 Trump: 262
——@TheEconomist
🟦…

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 5, 2024

Gonna be really funny if Trump wins.

[Vibe]

I think all bets are off.

Trump is the favorite but the dems are very resourceful and have the media and the institutions.

Won't be surprised by either outcome.

[Myesyats]

Although polls showed Trump at -17pts in Wisconsin in 2020 a week before election day, he lost only by less than 1 point.

I feel he will take Wisconsin this year, and I dont trust most of these polls

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