Re: Stats Thread

[Sina]

https://twitter.com/Worville/status/1117054501482061825

[Jay29]

I believe this is the second season in a row we've committed the most individual errors leading to goals in the league. Main culprits this season are Leno and XHAKA with about five each.

At the other end, Lacazette has only managed seven goals away from home in the two seasons he's been with us.

[Sina]

was such a Misunderstood player before he joined us
most thought he is that quick striker that plays on the shoulder and constantly runs in behind but he is so lacking physically

[Jay29]

His pace isn't bad, but he's not explosive, and a lot of his game is coming short and playing one-twos. Coupled with his work rate, he's a good lone striker for us but he's never going to hit elite numbers at this level.

I do think he has greater quality than Giroud did (as seen by his outstanding shooting at times) but we need more goalscorers and runners around him, not creators. Probably not a coincidence that Lacazette's best form was when he played with Fekir.

Now there's an idea.

[Jay29]

Speaking of away form. Our record over the years:

10/11 - 1st
11/12 - 3rd
12/13 - 2nd
13/14 - 2nd
14/15 - 3rd
15/16 - 3rd
16/17 - 6th
17/18 - 10th
18/19 - 10th

Has to be the players, right? Can't think of what else can be responsible for such a drastic decline.

For analysis sake, let's look at the midfielders we had in each of those seasons:

10/11 - Song, Wilshere, Fabregas, Nasri, Arshavin, Ramsey, Rosicky
11/12 - Song, Wilshere, Arteta, Arshavin, Ramsey, Rosicky, Benayoun, Coquelin
12/13 - Wilshere, Arteta, Cazorla, Rosicky, Coquelin, Ramsey
13/14 - Wilshere, Arteta, Ramsey, Ozil, Rosicky, Coquelin, Cazorla
14/15 - Wilshere, Arteta, Ramsey, Ozil, Rosicky, Coquelin, Cazorla
15/16 - Wilshere, Arteta, Ramsey, Ozil, Rosicky, Coquelin, Cazorla
16/17 - Wilshere, Arteta, Ramsey, Ozil, Rosicky, Coquelin, XHAKA, Cazorla
17/18 - Wilshere, Ramsey, Ozil, Coquelin, XHAKA, Mkhitaryan
18/19 - Ramsey, Ozil, XHAKA, Guendouzi, Torreira, Mkhitaryan

A couple of things stand out. One is the loss of Arteta, whose level head and intelligence held our midfield together during some troubling times. The other is the loss of Cazorla, whose two-footedness and supreme technique helped us evade pressure and pick open defensive teams.

Looking at what we have now, XHAKA is no Arteta. He's a more spectacular passer but his concentration isn't as good, which makes him far more prone to errors. Arteta was reliable in most situations. And we certainly have nobody of Cazorla's calibre. Guendouzi and Torreira are different types of midfielders who would play with a Cazorla-like midfielder. Ramsey and Ozil are the only ones left from that period where we could call our midfield decent.

[Sina]

[El Gunner]

Speaking of away form. Our record over the years:

10/11 - 1st
11/12 - 3rd
12/13 - 2nd
13/14 - 2nd
14/15 - 3rd
15/16 - 3rd
16/17 - 6th
17/18 - 10th
18/19 - 10th

Has to be the players, right? Can't think of what else can be responsible for such a drastic decline.

For analysis sake, let's look at the midfielders we had in each of those seasons:

10/11 - Song, Wilshere, Fabregas, Nasri, Arshavin, Ramsey, Rosicky
11/12 - Song, Wilshere, Arteta, Arshavin, Ramsey, Rosicky, Benayoun, Coquelin
12/13 - Wilshere, Arteta, Cazorla, Rosicky, Coquelin, Ramsey
13/14 - Wilshere, Arteta, Ramsey, Ozil, Rosicky, Coquelin, Cazorla
14/15 - Wilshere, Arteta, Ramsey, Ozil, Rosicky, Coquelin, Cazorla
15/16 - Wilshere, Arteta, Ramsey, Ozil, Rosicky, Coquelin, Cazorla
16/17 - Wilshere, Arteta, Ramsey, Ozil, Rosicky, Coquelin, XHAKA, Cazorla
17/18 - Wilshere, Ramsey, Ozil, Coquelin, XHAKA, Mkhitaryan
18/19 - Ramsey, Ozil, XHAKA, Guendouzi, Torreira, Mkhitaryan

A couple of things stand out. One is the loss of Arteta, whose level head and intelligence held our midfield together during some troubling times. The other is the loss of Cazorla, whose two-footedness and supreme technique helped us evade pressure and pick open defensive teams.

Looking at what we have now, XHAKA is no Arteta. He's a more spectacular passer but his concentration isn't as good, which makes him far more prone to errors. Arteta was reliable in most situations. And we certainly have nobody of Cazorla's calibre. Guendouzi and Torreira are different types of midfielders who would play with a Cazorla-like midfielder. Ramsey and Ozil are the only ones left from that period where we could call our midfield decent.

XHAKA is obviously the problem

[Sina]

https://twitter.com/cchappas/status/1165666595034849280/photo/2

Arsenal's last 23 away games against the Big Six

Won 0
Drawn 8
Lost 15
Clean sheets 1
Failed to score 5

Goals 25
Conceded 53

— Orbinho (@Orbinho) August 25, 2019

[El Gunner]

https://twitter.com/cchappas/status/1165666595034849280/photo/2

Arsenal's last 23 away games against the Big Six

Won 0
Drawn 8
Lost 15
Clean sheets 1
Failed to score 5

Goals 25
Conceded 53

— Orbinho (@Orbinho) August 25, 2019

Concerning of course.

Emery needs to find a consistent tactically organised gameplan to overcome this. Otherwise it's his ass.

[Sina]

Only three games in, but worrying that Arsenal are continuing to lose the ball so often in their own third pic.twitter.com/t5HyWxWzSZ

— Peter McKeever Ô_ō (@petermckeever) August 27, 2019

WOAT

[El Gunner]

^^loool Emery pls

[Sina]

According to Opta, Arsenal have made 13 errors leading to goals in the Premier League since the start of last season, when Unai Emery took over – the most of any club. Leno, with six, has more than anyone else during the period.

[Sina]

Arsenal have conceded 59 goals in 43 Premier League games under Unai Emery.

— Orbinho (@Orbinho) September 15, 2019

Bringing down Goals conceded per game back to 1 pg would be like a trophy

[Sina]

Non-Penalty Expected Goals Against




we are below average in the league

[Jay29]

7amkickoff did a good piece for Arseblog outlining Arsenal's defensive frailties.

https://arseblog.news/2019/10/emerys-passive-arsenal-needs-to-get-stuck-in/

The pertinent part is the comparison to Leicester, who are one of the best defensive teams in the league currently.

The first problem is that Arsenal are no longer a strong possession side. The Gunners are now 9th in possession overall 53.6% It’s not a huge drop in possession from 2010/11 (just 3%) but that drop in possession means that Arsenal allow the opposition more of the ball than before and thus, more opportunities for shots.

The major problems are that Arsenal are dead last or at the bottom of the table in most of the defensive stats. Now, defensive stats have very small correlation to shots allowed and goals conceded. However, they do tell us whether the team is aggressively trying to win the ball back. Arsenal are not doing that, we are playing passive, low block defense for long stretches of the season so far.

Arsenal are 18th in tackles per game with just 15.1; Leicester are 1st with 23 per game
Arsenal are 17th in interceptions per game with just 8.6; Leicester are 7th with 12 per game
Arsenal are 19th in passes blocked with 5.3 per game. Leicester are top of the League with 12.4 per game
Arsenal are also 16th in crosses blocked per game with 1. Leicester are 8th with 1.6
Arsenal have allowed the most shots per game, 18.3. Leicester have allowed the 2nds fewest, 8.7
Arsenal have allowed 14 Big Chances, Leicester have allowed just 6
Arsenal have already conceded 2 errors for goals plus 3 penalties. Leicester have just 1 error for a goal and 1 penalty conceded
And finally, Arsenal are 17th in being dispossessed per game with 11.7. Leicester are 5th with just 9.3

The result of this passive defensive work is that Arsenal have allowed 14 big chances this season (2 per game and on pace to concede over 76 big chances). Have allowed the most shots per game, 18. And have already allowed 11 goals, on pace to concede 60 goals. And, playing it out from the back has proved to be a huge problem at Arsenal. We lead the League in possession lost in our own half!

Arsenal are playing the ball out from the back, losing the ball in our own half, and also not winning the ball back enough. You may have heard me say that there are “structural” problems at Arsenal. This is what I mean.

[Sina]

Bottom 6

Arsenal Goals Scored per game in the Premier League era

1.55 - 1998-99 Wenger
1.45 - 2019/20 Emery
1.29 - 1995/96 Rioch
1.26 - 1993/94 Graham
1.24 - 1994-95 Graham/Houston
0.95 - 1992-93 Graham

— Orbinho (@Orbinho) November 8, 2019

Bottom 6

Arsenal Goals Conceded per game in the Premier League era

1.36 - 2019/20 Emery
1.34 - 2018/19 Emery
1.34 - 2017/18 Wenger
1.29 - 2011/12 Wenger
1.17 -1994/95 Graham/Houston
1.16 - 2016/17 Wenger

— Orbinho (@Orbinho) November 8, 2019

Confirmed. Arsenal have had fewer shots than their opponents in 10 of their 17 matches this season.

They have outshot their opponents away from home in just one of eight games (+1 v Sheffield United).

— Orbinho (@Orbinho) November 6, 2019

[Sina]

[Sina]

New: Stats and data show a top four finish is already an outside chance
(with thanks to @Orbinho) – https://t.co/lHpXpgk1Y0 #arsenal #afc pic.twitter.com/owM3lqHxC7

— arseblog (@arseblog) November 13, 2019

[Sina]

https://twitter.com/HandofArteta/status/1206849036394913792

[Sina]

Even getting players who are flat track bullies would be the difference between top 4 and midtable
Of course its team sport but i mean players who can decide games

Thats 22 points dropped against teams below us!
Not to mention 6 pts dropped vs Sheffield/Spurs/Wolves at home,fixtures we should win

[Sina]

Which Premier League teams concede most of their goals from open-play?

There are a few ways to interpret this but the idea was to capture the sides that suffer from set-pieces. pic.twitter.com/Wd7iwvn00d

— Josh Williams (@DistanceCovered) July 2, 2020

More on this.

Arsenal have actually conceded fewer goals from open-play than Manchester City, Wolves and Sheffield United. pic.twitter.com/ZsrblkMKJl

— Josh Williams (@DistanceCovered) July 2, 2020

We need a set piece specialist coach to be added

[Jay29]

I'd be interested in knowing how many set-pieces Arsenal concede vs the rest of the league.

I imagine the poor record this year is due to the high number of penalties conceded due to poor open-play defending.

Arsenal have conceded the same no of set-piece goals as Chelsea and only two more than United, but they've given away 6 penalties vs Chelsea's 2 and United's 1.

Also, the percentage of aerial duels won (13.3%) is similar to City (13.5%) but no of goals conceded from set-pieces is almost twice as much (13 vs 7). Could be a few reasons for that but City's record shows tall defenders aren't necessarily the solution.

Obviously the no of goals conceded from set-pieces needs to come down by at least 50%, but not giving away stupid pens would be useful, too.

Interestingly enough, according to WhoScored's data, Arsenal have conceded just once from counter attacks this season, so we can cross that classic weakness off.

Shame I can't find data on goals conceded from turnovers in our defensive third, though. I'm sure that'd make for ugly reading.

[El Gunner]

yea man, it's so obvious the foundation is there for us, we just need to get in the right personnel in positions that we lack and cut out our defense's stupid decision making, and we'll be a competing team again.

in reverse, we're the team that has scored the most goals from set-pieces this season apparently according to a commentator in one of our recent matches. Which is a huge surprise for us tbh, and again shows that taller players doesn't necessarily maketh good usage of set-pieces.

I would like to think we also work on defending set-pieces in training, it's just the mental mishaps and loss of concentration in-game that we need to get rid of

[Sina]

Arsenal Shots per game

2020/21 - 8.8
19/20 - 10.7
18/19 - 12.3
17/18 - 15.6
16/17 - 14.9
15/16 - 15.0
14/15 - 16.1
13/14 - 13.8
12/13 - 15.7
11/12 - 16.8
10/11 - 17.2
09/10 - 17.4
08/09 - 17.4
07/08 - 16.5
06/07 - 16.8
05/06 - 14.6
04/05 - 14.9
03/04 - 14.2

— Orbinho (@Orbinho) October 25, 2020

[mani88]

Now I think about it that about 5 10 years earlier Arsenal were very frequently accused of trying to walk the ball into the net and not taking a shot. Now considering this shots per game stat we really are pathetic now as we keep roaming the ball between the three centre backs.

Thinking about past, Denilson was way ahead of his time. He used to be a sideways passer back then. Now our whole team is full of denilsons.

[Jay29]

Took a look at some xG today.

xG For - 7.91 - 17th in Premier League
xG Against - 7.63 - 2nd in Premier League

Unsurprisingly, this rounds out to an Expected Points tally of 10.18, placing us at a thoroughly midtable position of 10th.

Arsenal have scored 9 goals off their xG of 7.91, so not a massive over-performance by any stretch but still concerning because that number is just so low.

They've conceded 7 off their xGA of 7.63, which is very good.

It's a small sample (just seven games), but it neatly highlights where Arsenal's problems are at the moment. The attack is performing at the same level of the likes of Sheffield United. Only Wolves, Burnley, and West Brom have put up worse numbers so far. Big Yikes.

The weak offence is backed-up by shots data, too. 8.6 shots per game is the fourth lowest in the division. Only Palace, Sheffield United and Newcastle are shooting less.

Defensively, only Villa - yes, Aston Villa - have a better defensive performance so far. Villa also happen to take third most shots per game - 14.8. Only bettered by Liverpool and City.

According to all this, shot-happy defensively strong Villa will likely draw against shot-shy defensively-strong Arsenal tonight.

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